Gold and Silver

Gold and Silver are the "Ultimate Hedge" against Total Global Monetary and Economic Meltdown.

Economic Theme for 2011 - 2012: MELTDOWN. Here is the link to a 4-Part Series "Must See" Documentary.

Sunday, January 9, 2011

Gold Price - Inflation Adjusted to CPI and to "Real" Inflation Rate.

In 1980 Gold reached a record high price of $850 per ounce. In order to know what the value of the 1980 $850 was in today's dollars we need to factor-in the accumulation rate to arrive at today's true value of the 1980 $850.

1. If we adjust the 1980 US dollar value using the government reported CPI (inflation) number, $850 in 1980 is equivalent to $2,382 today. Since the current price of Gold is only about $1,400 per ounce, in order to just match the government CPI inflation adjusted 1980 Gold price high, gold would have to go up another $982 per ounce.
  • Note that the government CPI number is extremely flawed as it grossly understate the real world inflation rate.
2. For a real world situation, it is very important for us to use the real world "true" inflation rate, and the best place to get that number is from Shadow Stats. Using Shadow Stat's inflation number, which is the "real' number, Gold price high in 1980 at $850 per ounce is equivalent to $7,689 in today's inflation adjusted dollars value. 

Since the current price of Gold is only $1,400 per ounce, in order to just match the 1980 high price in gold, silver would have to go up another $6,289 per ounce..

*** Since Gold Bull market tends to go between 15 to 18 years, we still have another 5 to 8 years left in the current bull market. If past history repeats, which is normally the case, we would have between 5 to 8 years left for price to travel at least $6,289.00.

*** If the US dollar goes into hyperinflation, which is very likely the case, and the global financial system collapse as a result, gold price can go much much higher that $7,689 per ounce.